finance
Money talks; reviewing the global economy, government spending, taxes, and economic policy that affect our social and political future.
IS Russia Winning Ukraine War?
For much of the conflict, Europe framed Ukraine’s struggle as a clear case of resistance against Russian aggression. The narrative was straightforward: Ukraine was defending sovereignty, and Europe stood firmly behind it. However, by 2026, the situation has evolved into something far more complex. The war is no longer just about Ukraine—it has become a broader strategic test for Europe itself. At the center of this test lies what analysts are calling the “Trump Conundrum.”
By Ibrahim Shah about 6 hours ago in The Swamp
Results Of US Regime Changes
For decades, the United States has justified its foreign interventions under the banner of promoting democracy and stability. The underlying assumption behind many of these actions is simple: remove an authoritarian leader, and a more stable, democratic, and cooperative system will naturally emerge. However, history tells a far more complicated—and often troubling—story.
By Ibrahim Shah about 6 hours ago in The Swamp
The decline of the West and the rise of ‘the Rest’ will lead to a new world order
As Donald Trump rampages through the global economic system with his tariff war and throws the United States’ commitment to NATO into serious doubt, fears – even panic – are mounting about the collapse of world order. Part of the anxiety stems from how suddenly these changes appear to have unfolded. In the aftermath of the 2008 global economic crisis, what was often described as the US-led liberal international order seemed alive and well, though not without challenges.
By Ibrahim Shah 2 days ago in The Swamp
Kharg Island Bombed: Trump.
Trump's postings on his social media network, Truth Social, can be flamboyant, over-the-top, dramatic, theatrical, and, dare I say, economical with the truth, making things seem bigger or better than they actually are. Not surprising from a man who thinks all eyes should be on him.
By Nicholas Bishop3 days ago in The Swamp
WHY ARAB STATES BEING TARGETED?
It is absolutely clear that they will go after every country that threatens Israel or is considered an existential or security threat to it. The agenda of Washington, D.C. is very clear: they will target every country that threatens Israel, and either destroy it through carpet bombing or erase it, just as they did with Atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
By Ibrahim Shah 4 days ago in The Swamp
Analysis Of US-ISR- IRAN WAR
The situation is ongoing, and if I were to summarize the details—because data is coming very late—it's totally difficult to confirm the casualties and how much damage has been done so far. Many reporters, particularly those on Al Jazeera, are stating that footage from both Hezbollah and Israel is not being released. Similarly, in the UAE, there is an effort to prevent influencers and various reporters from sharing information. People are afraid because their business capital is at risk. Additionally, two important things that I discussed in my last blog about the "magazine depth problem" are now being acknowledged by Western media. They also agree that this war won't last for many days and will have to rely on limited strikes. Trump, however, has also stated that there is no end game for this operation, Epic Fury.
By Ibrahim Shah 6 days ago in The Swamp
The next generation of dairy-free cheese may be made from rice.
Cheese is often the final "hard thing" to give up. Both vegans and others who wish to stay away from dairy because it bothers them miss it. The issue of allergies comes next. A lot of non-dairy cheeses contain gluten-based ingredients, and many rely on nuts. The "safe" options might quickly disappear if you have a gluten, dairy, or nut allergy.
By Francis Dami9 days ago in The Swamp
Doing the Wash
Congress. An entity of our government that is supposed to be working for us, is just a money laundering criminal endeavor. If you aren't paying attention to what our government does, then you are part of the problem.Money laundering is a crime, and we are funding it.
By Alexandra Grant10 days ago in The Swamp
U.S. strategic competition with China.
This war Stop being a medley story the moment the first oil tanker changed course in the Persian Gulf. What I mean is, Strait of Hormuz is the most important energy bottleneck on earth. Everybody knows it is the most important energy bottleneck on earth. And if it was the threat from Iran last time, this time Iran has partially done it. It is so narrow, IRGC has a lot of control over it. Just like in the Strait of Malacca, army/navy has control over it. Similarly, here the Iranians have control over it. And recently, China, Russia, and Iran have already conducted war games. So it is this narrow, 33 kilometers wide, you are hearing about it everywhere, everybody is talking about it. It is the width of a large city. So in this narrow passage, which holds 20% of the world's oil, one fifth of the world's oil and gas goes through, it is around 17 million barrels per day. There is no realistic alternative route except the Strait of Hormuz. If we close this passage, its consequences will not stop at any one border. Europe will pay, Japan will pay, India, South Korea, China, everybody pays the price. So a theory is floating around, which backs my argument that China is the target. It is that in Washington circles, there is a discussion going on, let's be honest, if this happens, what do we have to do? The hawkish people there say that this disruption should be allowed because it does not impact them as much as it impacts those countries, which I have just mentioned. So let's take this opportunity that the slowdown of China's energy supply can be slowed down. Trap Beijing in such an expensive moment as long as this congestion remains in the Strait of Hormuz, it remains closed, partially or completely. Iran keeps Beijing hit very badly from an energy security point of view. So the containment policy of China that is already going on is an added bonus. So imagine, on one hand, you are doing everything with technology and trade, imposing tariffs, treating them in the South China Sea, imagine all this. And from the other side, almost 90% of the oil and gas supplies go to China. If it is blocked for a few days, how badly it will hit China. So imagine, while the world is suffering, they are only having strategic designs in their minds.
By Ibrahim Shah 10 days ago in The Swamp
